Kegagalan terbesar PH adalah kesilapan mengikut rentak permainan dan naratif politik Barisan Nasional (BN).
"Pertahanan yang terbaik adalah serangan yang baik” dan BN telah mempraktikkan konsep ini dengan baik, dari polemik PAS dalam pakatan pembangkang sehingga isu calon PM PH.
Dari kedudukan pertahanan, BN telah berubah kepada kedudukan menyerang.
Sekiranya Dr Mahathir Mohamad hari ini dinamakan calon PM PH, percayalah, esok BN akan bertanyakan bagaimana Dr Mahathir boleh jadi PM tanpa menjadi ahli Parlimen, sebagaimana Anwar Ibrahim diserang.
Serangan bertubi-tubi ini akan diikuti dengan persoalan mengenai calon TPM PH, kemudian kabinet bayangan PH.
PH akan sentiasa berada selangkah di belakang BN kerana terlalu sibuk menjawab persoalan BN yang tiada hubung kait dengan masalah rakyat, sehinggalah Pilihan Raya Umum Ke-14 (PRU14) selesai.
Tanyalah rakyat marhaen. Kebanyakannya sudah muak dengan politik disebabkan pergolakan dalaman.
Pergolakan dalaman inilah hasil keghairahan PH menari mengikut rentak BN.
Daripada polemik PAS hingga calon PM, yang bakal disusuli calon TPM serta kabinet bayangan dan sebagainya. PH terlalu ghairah menjawab setiap persoalan BN.
Geek teknologi yang tak ambil kisah tentang pilihan raya, kerani yang tak ambil peduli tentang perkembangan politik, artis solek yang tak baca berita, golongan profesional yang bersedia berhijrah, anak muda yang tidak nampak kepentingan mendaftarkan diri sebagai pengundi – golongan inilah yang menjadi blok undi terbesar anti-BN dalam setiap PRU.
Mereka tidak membaca berita setiap hari, tetapi merasai beban kehidupan yang semakin berat. Mereka inginkan perubahan, tetapi tidak nampak bagaimana satu undi mereka mampu membawa perubahan. Pada tahun 2008 dan 2013, mereka akhirnya memberanikan diri melakukan sesuatu kerana tersentuh dengan Pakatan Rakyat.
Minggu depan, golongan ini akan terbaca berita dalam akhbar antarabangsa yang bertajuk: "Pembangkang Malaysia Menamakan Bekas PM Berumur 92 Tahun Sebagai Calon PM"".
Tak malu jadi bahan lawak dunia?
Bayangkan perasaan golongan pengundi atas pagar yang suatu ketika dahulu memberanikan diri melakukan perubahan selepas berdekad lamanya dipujuk para aktivis serta pembangkang, kini mendapat tahu bekas PM yang dikritik lantang berdekad lamanya diangkat pula sebagai PM pembangkang.
Mereka akan memganggap bahawa pembangkang kini membuat keputusan mengorbankan perjuangan asal, ganti dengan sosok tubuh yang dilawan begitu lamanya demi menawan Putrajaya.
Secara tidak langsung, PH sedang mengaku bahawa perjuangan yang ikhlas, murni dan suci untuk demokrasi, urustadbir baik, prinsip, menolak kezaliman dan sebagainya selama ini gagal teruk, pembangkang kini kebuntuan, maka jalan pintas terpaksa diambil demi menjadi tuan di Putrajaya.
Pemimpin PH sedang memberitahu rakyat Malaysia, HARAPAN telah jadi TIADA HARAPAN.
Sewajarnya PH kembali kepada perjuangan yang berkisar tentang nasib rakyat, kerana hanya melalui kaedah ini BN akan berada selangkah di belakang PH. Hanya melalui isu rakyat, lebih ramai akan membuka mata.
PH ulang mansuh tol, BN jawab tidak boleh dan terpaksa mempertahankan sebabnya.
PH ulang mansuh PTPTN, BN jawab tidak boleh dan terpaksa mempertahankan sebabnya.
PH umum akan batal GST, BN jawab tidak boleh dan terpaksa mempertahankan sebabnya.
Apapun alasan yang dikemukakan BN demi mempertahankan kedudukannya akan menyerlahkan kerakusan kuasa serta ketamakan mereka.
Perjuangan pembangkang dan para aktivis sebenarnya lebih besar dari soal PM. Itulah yang membezakan pembangkang/aktivis dengan BN selama ini. Perbezaan ini akan lenyap sekiranya kita bermain mengikut naratif BN.
Maka saya merayu kepada PH, janganlah bermain mengikut naratif BN. – 6 Januari, 2018.- Adrian Lim Chee En, themalaysianinsight
Pada tahun 1997, Tun M meminta Kerajaan Negeri memberi milik tanah kpd Felda dgn penetapan kadar premium RM500/ekar utk dijadikan ladang komersial sebagai sumber income utama Felda. Dgn keputusan ini Kerajaan tidak lagi beri apa2 geran kpd Felda utk kos operasinya dan Felda jadi self financing.
Tahun 2000, Felda melunaskan semua hutang dgn World Bank,14 tahun lebih awal dan dgn itu Felda tidak punya apa2 liabiliti hutang. Aset dan pelaburan Felda bertambah dari tahun ke tahun termasuk saham2 dlm Maybank, MISC, Amanah Raya dll. Bajet tahunan Felda begitu besar menyamai 5 negeri dan surplus.
Anak2 sykt Felda yg berpayong di bawah Felda holdings untung dgn turn over lebih RM15 bil setahun. Saban tahun untung ini dipulangkan kpd peneroka dlm bentuk dividen dlm Koperasi Permodalan Felda (KPF).
Najib jaga felda April 2004. Sedikit demi sedikit dia menabur dedak. Diperkenalkan mcm2 insentif kpd peneroka...duit raya, bonus, pelepasan caruman itu ini dan mcm2 lagi. Dikerahnya Isa Samad supaya sykt Felda pegi listing. Najib mahu cipta Nama dan rekod supaya FGV become 2nd biggest IPO in the world. Pelik, Felda banyak modal dan dana serta tunai, Najib mahu jugak masuk bursa.
Hasil ke bursa, Felda dapat RM 5.2 bilion, selebihnya RM4 bil plus FGV. Ini menjadikan Felda mempunyai tunai yg banyak melebihi RM13 bilion termasuk pinjaman KWSP RM6 bilion, saham2 dan pelaburan dlm institusi.
Benarlah kata pepatah ibarat kera merentas dusun, ibarat musang jaga reban, lombong emas satu bukit pun habis ditarahnya bila Isa Samad mengawal segalanya...!!!
Aliran tunai Felda makin lemah, liabiliti pinjaman makin bertambah, bajet tahunan Felda defesit 4 tahun berturut2, projek rumah kedua banyak terbengkalai, bantuan itu ini mula dikurangkan. Komen Audit Negara terhadap operasi Felda sgt ketara. Laporan kewangan Felda lewat siap tidak spt sebelumnya mengikut jadual.
Tidak ada ape lagi yg tinggal di Felda di bawah tangan Najib. Legasi dan imej bapanya sudah tercemar teruk. Felda sekarang menghadapi situasi getir dan sukar dgn aset yg lemah dan pelaburan2 pasif yg belum pasti pulangannya. Dulu Felda mengurus kejayaan membantu org miskin, sekarang Najib sebenarnya mengurus kegagalan. - Ismail Muda
Mahathir: The man BN fears the most...
Speculation continues to flare over whether Dr Mahathir Mohamad will be named as Pakatan Harapan’s candidate for Prime Minister.
One of the bigger questions asked about this is: is this a morally correct move?
Unfortunately, that is the one question I cannot afford to address satisfactorily in this article. It really is a conversation with too many considerations and details.
While leaving the answer to that question open (even though it may be the most important question of all), we can still try and better understand some of the political dynamics at play in this controversy, and make estimations of the comparative political impact such a move would have.
The most basic question we can start with is: how will choosing to nominate Mahathir as candidate for prime minister affect Harapan’s performance in GE14?
All BN guns aimed at Mahathir
I think the best way to find the answer to this question is to look at BN over the past few weeks and months.
In this time, the amount of BN guns that have been aimed towards Mahathir has been nothing short of astounding.
I would almost go so far to say that BN has practically ignored everything else about Harapan, essentially construing Mahathir as the one and only relevant threat.
Everyone goes out of their way to attack Mahathir - Prime Minister Najib Abdul Razak (photo), Umno, MCA, even PAS.
Scanning the news reveals this easily discernible, consistent pattern.
This is significant, because we must remember, the ruling party has access to state apparatus and data collecting resources leaps and abound above everyone else.
It is widely believed that large sections of the police Special Branch fulfil the role that in other countries is often played by professional pollsters: doing on the ground political polling and research.
Their findings are obviously fed back up the chain of command, and I think a reasonable assumption to make based on BN’s attacks is that Mahathir is having a significant impact on the electorate.
Mahathir’s ‘golden age’
I suppose it’s not terribly hard to speculate or imagine why this might be so.
Mahathir presided over what is probably an unprecedented period of growth for Malaysia.
For some, it was a reign of terror and repression. For others, it may have been the closest to a “golden age” that Malaysia has ever had, especially economically speaking.
Certainly, he was premier during some of Malaysia’s worst economic periods as well, but those might be remembered as a time when the rest of the region was also reeling from the same crises.
Besides, it is not uncommon for humans to remember the good more than the bad when looking back, especially when comparing economic situations between today and yesteryear.
How Malays remember Mahathir
Demographics are also an important consideration. For the majority of time Mahathir was premier, Umno was absolutely dominant.
Challengers to BN hegemony was relatively weak, and Umno even had the luxury of spending more time and energy fighting their own coalition allies than they did having to fend off the opposition.
Even then, Umno’s dominance over parties like MCA and MIC remained strong.
It is possible that this is what voters in Umno strongholds remember most about Mahathir.
The situation now is quite different, with parties like DAP infinitely stronger than they were during Mahathir’s time, as compared to parties like MCA, which are universally viewed as impotent placeholders.
There is some irony that Mahathir is now working together with DAP, but perhaps voters simply see that as the replacement of one Chinese component party with another.
Feeling the economic pinch
All this sits on top of what may be the most relevant factor: people aren’t feeling like they’re doing economically well. Perhaps they think back to Mahathir’s time, and reminisce on how good it all used to be.
There has probably always been a tolerance of some degree of what we usually view as corruption, but perhaps some of the fundamental opposition line that ruling politicians are getting rich while the rest of us struggle harder and harder is seeping through.
Dissatisfaction may not be intensely widespread, spilling out into the streets and such.
That said, we should remember that the case was similar in 2008, where the lack of political hype disguised a quiet discontent, which eventually manifested into a political tsunami that no one expected.
There is a chance that we are seeing something similar now, ten years later.
A dark horse?
Amid such an atmosphere, a figure like Mahathir appears as a volatile, unpredictable factor - a dark horse almost.
His stature and track record probably rank much higher than Najib’s in many of Umno’s core strongholds.
It is for this reason primarily that in terms of available candidates for prime minister, Mahathir will likely have the most Harapan-friendly impact on seats that matter.
Presumably, it will come down to how much stock voters put into an institution like Umno as a whole, or how much they believe it is the institution’s leaders - more than the institution itself - that have shaped past successes.
Between morality and expediency
All said, just because nominating Mahathir may get Harapan the most votes, this does not mean that it is ultimately the right thing to do.
Determining that is a much more difficult ethical question, and pivots a lot on the many different ways different people define “right.”
I think it is fair to say however, that no other potential candidates will have the kind of impact Mahathir will have.
The latest salvo by PAS is to accuse Mahathir of betraying Harapan at the last moment to go back to Umno.
On one hand, we can’t really put anything past a politician who has made as many varied moves as Mahathir has. On the other, this could merely be the latest in a long string of BN throwing everything but the kitchen sink, in trying to sink Mahathir.
That relentless effort should be seen for what it is: a sign that BN – who we can reasonably assume has more reliable information than we do – considers him their number one threat to staying in power. - Nathaniel Tan,mk
Bank Negara buys govt.land? The land should be allocated by government
for Bank Negara’s needs not otherwise...
Kita bising2 pasal pasang papan tanda projek tidak ada dalam bahasa kebangsaan tapi Projek di Kg Baru, KL.100% Syarikat China.Bahasa Kebangsaan tak diiktiraf hangpa diam saja.UMNO kata DAP perosak negara tapi yang nyata perosaknya adalah UMNO depa bawa Syarikat China komunis bikin bangunan di sini.
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